MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 04:57:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Flamengo

Vasco
1 - 6
Flamengo

Vegetti (9')
Vegetti (59'), Gabriel (71')
Victor (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Everton (28'), Pedro (33'), Luiz (43'), De Arrascaeta (51'), Henrique (73'), Barbosa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 3-3 Fortaleza (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Flamengo

Flamengo are the clear favorites in this one and their quality speaks for itself. The visitors have dominated this fixture in recent times and we expect them to continue their unbeaten streak against the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
29.61% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 25.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 45.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.105 -0.11)49.2% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)71.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)30.57% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.117 -0.12)66.81% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)21.84% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.07% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 29.61%
    Flamengo 45.02%
    Draw 25.35%
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Vasco vs Flamengo

Vasco da Gama
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Flamengo
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Flamengo
1-0
Vasco
Gerson (76')
Bruno (23')

Henrique (33'), Paulinho (90+5')
Jun 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-4
Flamengo
Jair (58' pen.)
Teixeira (45'), Capasso (67')
Pulgar (14'), Gerson (16'), Pedro (42'), Lucas (45+2')
Feb 5, 2021 12am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
2-0
Vasco
Barbosa (45+3' pen.), Henrique (77')
Oct 10, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 15
Vasco
1-2
Flamengo
Magno (9')
Tenorio (1'), Magno (53')
Pereira (48'), Henrique (71')
Diego (11'), Maia (61'), Henrique (73'), Pereira (89'), Vitinho (90+1')
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
4-4
Vasco
Ribeiro (1'), Barcelos (45' og.), Henrique (65', 81')
Barbosa (30'), Arao (43'), Rafinha (45'), Luis (74'), Gerson (76'), Henrique (81')
Marrony (34'), Pikachu (38' pen.), Junior (52'), Ribamar (93')
Richard (27'), Rossi (41'), Raul (60'), Marrony (64'), Pikachu (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo19124331161540
2FlamengoFlamengo18114332191337
3PalmeirasPalmeiras19113527141336
4FortalezaFortaleza189632318533
5Cruzeiro1810262520532
6Sao Paulo199552820832
7Bahia199462823531
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino177462220225
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12JuventudeJuventude175661922-321
13InternacionalInternacional145451212019
14Corinthians194781725-819
15CriciumaCriciuma174672427-318
16Cuiaba174581822-417
17Gremio1743101422-815
18Vitoria1943122032-1215
19Fluminense1835101424-1014
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO1926111629-1312


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