Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Flamengo

Vasco
1 - 6
Flamengo

Vegetti (9')
Vegetti (59'), Gabriel (71')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Everton (28'), Pedro (33'), Luiz (43'), De Arrascaeta (51'), Henrique (73'), Barbosa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 3-3 Fortaleza (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
29.61% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)25.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)45.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.105 -0.11)49.2% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)71.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)30.57% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.117 -0.12)66.81% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)21.84% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.07% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 29.61%
    Flamengo 45.02%
    Draw 25.35%
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Vasco vs Flamengo

Vasco da Gama
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Flamengo
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Flamengo
1-0
Vasco
Gerson (76')
Bruno (23')

Henrique (33'), Paulinho (90+5')
Jun 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-4
Flamengo
Jair (58' pen.)
Teixeira (45'), Capasso (67')
Pulgar (14'), Gerson (16'), Pedro (42'), Lucas (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2021 12am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
2-0
Vasco
Barbosa (45+3' pen.), Henrique (77')
Oct 10, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 15
Vasco
1-2
Flamengo
Magno (9')
Tenorio (1'), Magno (53')
Pereira (48'), Henrique (71')
Diego (11'), Maia (61'), Henrique (73'), Pereira (89'), Vitinho (90+1')
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
4-4
Vasco
Ribeiro (1'), Barcelos (45' og.), Henrique (65', 81')
Barbosa (30'), Arao (43'), Rafinha (45'), Luis (74'), Gerson (76'), Henrique (81')
Marrony (34'), Pikachu (38' pen.), Junior (52'), Ribamar (93')
Richard (27'), Rossi (41'), Raul (60'), Marrony (64'), Pikachu (78')
rhs 2.0


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