MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 16:15:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Flamengo

Vasco
1 - 6
Flamengo

Vegetti (9')
Vegetti (59'), Gabriel (71')
Victor (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Everton (28'), Pedro (33'), Luiz (43'), De Arrascaeta (51'), Henrique (73'), Barbosa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 3-3 Fortaleza (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Flamengo

Flamengo are the clear favorites in this one and their quality speaks for itself. The visitors have dominated this fixture in recent times and we expect them to continue their unbeaten streak against the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
29.61% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 25.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 45.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.105 -0.11)49.2% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)71.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)30.57% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.117 -0.12)66.81% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)21.84% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)55.07% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 29.61%
    Flamengo 45.02%
    Draw 25.35%
Vasco da GamaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Vasco vs Flamengo

Vasco da Gama
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Flamengo
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Flamengo
1-0
Vasco
Gerson (76')
Bruno (23')

Henrique (33'), Paulinho (90+5')
Jun 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-4
Flamengo
Jair (58' pen.)
Teixeira (45'), Capasso (67')
Pulgar (14'), Gerson (16'), Pedro (42'), Lucas (45+2')
Feb 5, 2021 12am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
2-0
Vasco
Barbosa (45+3' pen.), Henrique (77')
Oct 10, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 15
Vasco
1-2
Flamengo
Magno (9')
Tenorio (1'), Magno (53')
Pereira (48'), Henrique (71')
Diego (11'), Maia (61'), Henrique (73'), Pereira (89'), Vitinho (90+1')
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Flamengo
4-4
Vasco
Ribeiro (1'), Barcelos (45' og.), Henrique (65', 81')
Barbosa (30'), Arao (43'), Rafinha (45'), Luis (74'), Gerson (76'), Henrique (81')
Marrony (34'), Pikachu (38' pen.), Junior (52'), Ribamar (93')
Richard (27'), Rossi (41'), Raul (60'), Marrony (64'), Pikachu (78')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
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Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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