Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Amazonia
Flamengo

Amazonas
0 - 1
Flamengo

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (80', 80')
Rodrigues de Souza (45+1'), Rodrigues de Souza (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Amazonas and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amazonas

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Amazonas had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Amazonas win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
AmazonasDrawFlamengo
20.48% (0.42 0.42)24.19% (0.351 0.35)55.32% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-0.871 -0.87)51.95% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-0.758 -0.76)73.69% (0.75899999999999 0.76)
Amazonas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)39.97% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)76.62% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.614 -0.61)18.66% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-1.041 -1.04)49.99% (1.042 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Amazonas 20.48%
    Flamengo 55.31%
    Draw 24.19%
AmazonasDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.224 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.31%

Head to Head
May 2, 2024
1.30am
Third Round
Flamengo  
vs.
  Amazonas