MX23RW : Monday, June 17 04:39:44| >> :600:296676:296676:
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
3 - 0
Millonarios

Pedro (7', 44'), Pablo Vargas (25' og.)
Henrique (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Giraldo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Millonarios, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 15 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios

While it is unusual to see Flamengo potentially on the brink of elimination at this stage, we believe their experience in win-or-go-home scenarios, along with their strong form at home, will enable them to prolong their Libertadores adventure into the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
75.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 15.77% (-0.035 -0.04) 8.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (0.11 0.11)40.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.42% (0.113 0.11)62.58% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (0.037000000000006 0.04)9.01% (-0.039099999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31% (0.093000000000004 0.09)30.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.21% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.2% (0.029 0.03)84.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 75.45%
    Millonarios 8.76%
    Draw 15.77%
FlamengoDrawMillonarios
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.45%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 8.76%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Millonarios

Flamengo
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Millonarios
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Millonarios
1-1
Flamengo
Ruiz (80')
Castro (21')
Vasquez (61')
Pedro (64' pen.)
Araujo (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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