Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Gremio

Juventude
3 - 0
Gremio

Gilberto (25'), Lucas (32'), Erick (83')
Barbosa (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pavon (69'), Reinaldo (78'), Martins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawGremio
40.4% (1.219 1.22)28.04% (-0.314 -0.31)31.56% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.644 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.92 0.92)58.94% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.707 0.71)79.42% (-0.70299999999999 -0.7)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (1.151 1.15)28.58% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (1.418 1.42)64.37% (-1.414 -1.41)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)34.22% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.173 -0.17)70.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 40.39%
    Gremio 31.55%
    Draw 28.04%
JuventudeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.222 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Juventude vs Gremio

Juventude
48.1%
Draw
40.7%
Gremio
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Juventude
Costa (23'), Souza (24'), Villasanti (56')
Silva (86')
Vinicios (59'), Roberson (90+4')
Castilho (42'), Roberson (79'), Santos (89')
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Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Juventude
2-0
Gremio
Paulinho (28'), Peixoto (83')
Elton (71'), Chico (82'), Mendes (90+3')
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Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Juventude
0-1
Gremio
Dalberto (18')
Isaque (37'), (85')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
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1-0
Juventude
Paulo (73')