Brasileiro
Gameweek
10
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Pedro Augusto
33'
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Pedro Augusto
33'
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Juan Martin Lucero
42'
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Juan Martin Lucero
42'
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Calebe
90'+1'
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Calebe
90'+1'
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Juan Martin Lucero
90'+5'
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Juan Martin Lucero
90'+5'
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Pepe
44'
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Pepe
44'
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Rodrigo Ely
45'+4'
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Rodrigo Ely
45'+4'
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Agustin Marchesin
45'+8'
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Agustin Marchesin
45'+8'
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Edenilson
81'
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Edenilson
81'
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Reinaldo
90'+5'
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Reinaldo
90'+5'
Fortaleza vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
Result
Fortaleza
54.48%
▼
(-0.33)
Draw
24.21%
▼
(-0.06)
Gremio
21.31%
▲
(+0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
49.94%
▲
(+0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.93%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
51.07%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
27.07%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 3.5
72.92%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 4.5
12.7%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 4.5
87.3%
▼
(-0.38)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
81.35%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
18.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
50.03%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
49.97%
▼
(-0.21)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
61.39%
▲
(+0.77)
Under 0.5
38.61%
▼
(-0.77)
Over 1.5
24.65%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
75.35%
▼
(-0.72)
Score analysis
Fortaleza
54.47%
Draw
24.2%
Gremio
21.31%
Fortaleza
1-0
@
12.09%
▼
(-0.27)
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.47%
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.5%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.2%
0-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.2%
Gremio
0-1
@
6.85%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.77)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-98.77)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.31%