/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Fbotlog.png)
-
Gustavo Nunes
21'
-
Gustavo Nunes
39'
-
Felipe Carballo
78'
-
Felipe Carballo
81'
-
Everton Galdino
81'
-
Cuiabano
10'
-
Gregore
45'
-
Junior Santos
57'
-
Damian Suarez
83'
-
Yarlen Faustino Augusto
83'
Gremio vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F46%2Frenato-gaucho_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result
Gremio
46.81%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
27.04%
▲
(+0.34)
Botafogo
26.16%
▼
(-0.80)
Both Teams to Score:
46.92%
▼
(-1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.38%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 2.5
57.62%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 3.5
21.62%
▼
(-1.36)
Under 3.5
78.39%
▲
(+1.36)
Over 4.5
9.28%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 4.5
90.72%
▲
(+0.82)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
75.37%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
24.63%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
40.86%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
59.14%
▲
(+0.75)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
62.25%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 0.5
37.76%
▲
(+1.61)
Over 1.5
25.47%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 1.5
74.53%
▲
(+1.60)
Score analysis
Gremio
46.81%
Draw
27.04%
Botafogo
26.16%
Gremio
1-0
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.63)
2-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.81%
2-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.81%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.04%
0-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.04%
Botafogo
0-1
@
9.06%
▲
(+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.16%
1-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.16%
