Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Botafogo logo

Gremio
1 - 2
Botafogo

Nunes (21')
Nunes (39'), Carballo (78'), Carballo (81'), Galdino (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cuiabano (10'), Santos (57')
Gregore (45'), Suarez (83'), Faustino Augusto (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Gremio
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, June 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawBotafogo
46.81% (0.461 0.46)27.04% (0.34 0.34)26.16% (-0.799 -0.8)
Both teams to score 46.92% (-1.542 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-1.69 -1.69)57.62% (1.692 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-1.355 -1.36)78.39% (1.357 1.36)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)24.63% (0.528 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.739 -0.74)59.14% (0.742 0.74)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-1.599 -1.6)37.76% (1.603 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-1.591 -1.59)74.53% (1.594 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 46.81%
    Botafogo 26.16%
    Draw 27.04%
GremioDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.63 0.63)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.308 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.81%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.16%

How you voted: Gremio vs Botafogo

Gremio
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Botafogo
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Botafogo
3-4
Gremio
Costa (6'), Santos (29'), Freitas (46')
Galdino (9'), Suarez (50', 53', 69')
Carballo (25'), Pedro (79')
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Gremio
0-2
Botafogo

Reinaldo (30'), Cuiabano (79')
Eduardo (74'), Alberto (88')
Hugo (36'), Tiquinho (58'), Sampaio (76'), Tche (77'), Marcal (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 35
Botafogo
2-5
Gremio
Navarro (56'), Babi (82')
Alisson (7'), Pyerre (17'), Churin (54' pen.), Henrique (74', 78')
Oct 14, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 16
Gremio
3-1
Botafogo
Souza (34'), Pepe (48', 66')
Henrique (31'), Souza (54'), Rodrigues (81')
Souza (53')
Babi (42')
Santos (30'), Babi (80')
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
3-0
Botafogo
Souza (12'), Thaciano (71'), Everton (80')
Matheus (6'), Geromel (37'), Kannemann (91')

Santos (7'), Yuri (36')