Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.