Brasileiro | Gameweek 1

Apr 14, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 2
Bragantino

Lima (45+4', 45+4', 68', 68')
Guga (10'), Guga (11'), Marquinhos (29'), Marquinhos (29'), Andre (90+2'), Andre (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sasha (47', 47'), Borbas (52', 52')
Candido (9'), Candido (10'), Capixaba (44'), Capixaba (44'), Vitinho (81'), Vitinho (81'), Jadsom (83'), Jadsom (83'), Oscar Cravero (90'), Cravero (90')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Bragantino

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Racing 3-0 Bragantino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
46.23% ( -0.12)	25.45% ( 0.01)	28.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

0.03)

50.25% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

0.03)

72.2% (

-0.03)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

-0.04)

21.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.1% (

-0.06)

54.9% (

0.07)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

0.1)

32.06% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

0.12)

68.53% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 46.23%

Bragantino 28.32%

Draw 25.44%

Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.32%