Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 72.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Coquimbo Unido win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.