Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 5, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Catolica
0 - 2
Coquimbo

Mena (41'), Castillo (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Canales (52' og.), Johansen (87' pen.)
Cabrera (63'), Galani (84')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Coquimbo Unido.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Catolica
Saturday, September 9 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1

Coquimbo Unido

Last Game: Defensa 4-2 Coquimbo
Saturday, January 16 at 11.30pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Coquimbo Unido win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Coquimbo Unido
40.27% ( -0.02)	25.95% ( -0)	33.78% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

0.01)

50.25% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.01)

72.2% (

-0.01)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

-0)

24.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

-0)

59.12% (

Coquimbo Unido Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

0.01)

28.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

0.02)

64.04% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 40.27%

Coquimbo Unido 33.78%

Draw 25.94%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Coquimbo Unido
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.27%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.78%