Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.