Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 25, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
2 - 1
Sportivo

Borbas (28', 28'), Neves (47', 47')
Borbas (16'), Borbas (16'), Goncalves (56'), Goncalves (56'), Augusto Ferreira Bordon (78'), Bordon (78'), Neves (80'), Neves (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mana (9'), Augusto Ferreira Bordon (76'), Bordon (76')
Mana (57'), Mana (57'), Lincoln (80'), Ferreira (90+4'), Lincoln (90+4'), Ferreira (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Sportivo Luqueno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sportivo Luqueno

All competitions

Last Game: Coquimbo 1-0 Sportivo
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno
68.57% ( 0.2)	19.63% ( -0.11)	11.79% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.74% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41% (

0.21)

48.59% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

0.19)

70.71% (

-0.19)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

0.12)

13.11% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

0.25)

39.75% (

-0.25)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.35% (

-0.04)

49.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.58% (

-0.03)

84.41% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 68.56%

Sportivo Luqueno 11.79%

Draw 19.63%

Bragantino	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno
2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.56%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.63%	0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 11.79%