Sportivo
1 - 2
Defensa

Vera (8')
Dure (49'), (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pizzini (30'), Romero (55')
Romero (55')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
24.58%	24.48%	50.93%

Both teams to score 53.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08%

48.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99%

71.01%

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94%

71.06%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1%

50.9%

Score Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno 24.58%

Defensa y Justicia 50.93%

Draw 24.48%

Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 7.05% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.17% Total : 24.58%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.98% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.94% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.06% Total : 50.93%