Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
0 - 4
Racing


Jara (6'), Pastran (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Salas (9'), Martinez (18'), Martinez (87'), Castreje Rodriguez (90')
Garcia Basso (27')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 12 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Racing Club

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Bragantino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawRacing Club
26.91% (0.14 0.14)27.04% (0.192 0.19)46.04% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 47.45% (-0.444 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.79% (-0.621 -0.62)57.21% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (-0.499 -0.5)78.06% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)36.89% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32% (-0.219 -0.22)73.67% (0.215 0.22)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.44 -0.44)24.81% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-0.614 -0.61)59.4% (0.609 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 26.91%
    Racing Club 46.03%
    Draw 27.04%
BelgranoDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.91%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.75% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.03%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Racing
4-1
Belgrano
Hauche (13'), Quintero (38', 72'), Ojeda (84')
Insua (86')
Jara (90')
Ibacache (31'), Moreno (36')
Jan 29, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Racing
0-0
Belgrano
Mar 16, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 23
Racing
1-0
Belgrano
Lopez (2')
Sigali (35'), Mena (82'), Lopez (94')

Sequeira (15'), Herrera (51'), Brunetta (86')