Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 17, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo
2 - 3
Bragantino

Bordon (3', 3'), Leguizamon (37', 37')
Benitez (51'), Benitez (51'), Rios (90+3'), Rios (90+3')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Helinho (15', 15', 80', 80'), Lincoln (74', 74')
Capixaba (19'), Capixaba (19'), Lincoln (50'), Lincoln (50'), Santos (90+3'), Santos (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Luqueno

Last Game: Sportivo 0-0 Coquimbo
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Bragantino
19.27% ( 4.02)	25.05% ( 4.33)	55.68% ( -8.35)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-5.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5% (

-10.84)

56.51% (

10.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5% (

-9.51)

77.5% (

9.52)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06% (

-1.44)

43.94% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93% (

-1.21)

80.08% (

1.22)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

-6.72)

20.28% (

6.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.36% (

-11.99)

52.64% (

12)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno 19.27%

Bragantino 55.67%

Draw 25.04%

Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 7.33% ( 2.4) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.9) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.27%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 1.84) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 3.15) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 14.21% ( 2.7) 0-2 @ 11.34% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( -1.63) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -1.6) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -1.42) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.77) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -1.3) Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.67%