Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Cuiaba

Gremio
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Cristaldo (44')
Kannemann (13'), Queiroz (42'), Galdino (78'), Ribeiro (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Denilson (12'), Sobral (15')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Cuiaba

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawCuiaba
58.49% (-0.1 -0.1)23.54% (0.14 0.14)17.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (-0.591 -0.59)52.61% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (-0.509 -0.51)74.26% (0.509 0.51)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)17.74% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.59% (-0.436 -0.44)48.41% (0.436 0.44)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-0.394 -0.39)43.18% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-0.334 -0.33)79.44% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 58.48%
    Cuiaba 17.97%
    Draw 23.53%
GremioDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.48%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Gremio
2-0
Cuiaba
Suarez (30'), Rikelme (63' og.)
Galdino (62'), Ely (69')

Mineiro (41')
Apr 30, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cuiaba
1-2
Gremio
Marllon (29')
Vinicius (10'), Galdino (68')
Oct 7, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Gremio
2-2
Cuiaba
Alisson (52', 82')
Thiago (14'), Churin (86')
Max (23'), Marllon (80')
Empereur (21'), (82'), Ramon (88')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 5
Cuiaba
0-1
Gremio

Lucas (45+7')
Borja (25' pen.)
Thiago (44'), Rafinha (59'), Vanderson (69'), Ruan (72'), Pyerre (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Gremio
2-0
Cuiaba
Souza (10', 42')

Santana (27')