Copa Libertadores
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Luciano Ursino
16'
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Luciano Ursino
16'
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Daniel Rojas Cespedes
17'
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Daniel Rojas Cespedes
17'
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Pablo Lavallen
18'
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Pablo Lavallen
18'
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Luciano Ursino
23'
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Luciano Ursino
23'
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Enrique Triverio
73'
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Enrique Triverio
73'
The Strongest vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
Result
The Strongest
42.62%
▼
(-2.65)
Draw
24.74%
▲
(+0.36)
Gremio
32.64%
▲
(+2.30)
Both Teams to Score:
57.79%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.75%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 2.5
45.25%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 3.5
32.41%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 3.5
67.59%
▲
(+0.68)
Over 4.5
16.37%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 4.5
83.63%
▲
(+0.49)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5
78.72%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 0.5
21.28%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 1.5
45.8%
▼
(-2.33)
Under 1.5
54.21%
▲
(+2.33)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
73.41%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 0.5
26.59%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 1.5
38.19%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 1.5
61.82%
▼
(-1.47)
Score analysis
The Strongest
42.62%
Draw
24.73%
Gremio
32.64%
The Strongest
2-1
@
8.97%
▼
(-0.26)
1-0 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.36)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.23)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.62%
1-0 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.36)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.23)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.62%
Draw
1-1
@
11.59%
▲
(+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
Gremio
1-2
@
7.68%
▲
(+0.37)
0-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.64%
0-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.64%