MX23RW : Tuesday, April 23 18:59:30| >> :600:9863414:9863414:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Rafael Mendoza Castellon
Gremio

The Strongest
2 - 0
Gremio

Ursino (16'), Triverio (73')
Rojas Cespedes (17'), Lavallen (18'), Ursino (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-3 Gremio
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawGremio
42.62% (-2.647 -2.65) 24.74% (0.36 0.36) 32.64% (2.292 2.29)
Both teams to score 57.79% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.697 -0.7)45.25% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.67 -0.67)67.59% (0.67399999999999 0.67)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-1.467 -1.47)21.28% (1.468 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (-2.322 -2.32)54.21% (2.323 2.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (1.127 1.13)26.59% (-1.124 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (1.467 1.47)61.82% (-1.465 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 42.62%
    Gremio 32.64%
    Draw 24.73%
The StrongestDrawGremio
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.167 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.363 0.36)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.449 0.45)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.444 0.44)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.261 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.259 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.64%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal33235577265174
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!