Brasileiro | Gameweek 36

Nov 30, 2023 at 10pm UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
2 - 1
Goias

Ferreira (50'), Cristaldo (56')
Ribeiro (31'), Carballo (38'), Martins (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morelli (28')
Palacios (48'), Apodi (75')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, November 26 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Goias

All competitions

Last Game: Goias 0-1 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, November 28 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Goias
60.58% ( -0.11)	21.88% ( 0.06)	17.53% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

-0.22)

46.62% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

-0.2)

68.89% (

0.2)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07% (

-0.11)

14.93% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.67% (

-0.2)

43.33% (

0.2)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.83% (

-0.08)

40.17% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19% (

-0.07)

76.81% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Gremio 60.57%

Goias 17.53%

Draw 21.88%

Gremio	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.57%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.88%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.53%