Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Dec 3, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 0
Vasco

Ely (35'), Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (75')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Goias
Thursday, November 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Vasco da Gama
50.99% ( 0.62)	25.02% ( 0.11)	23.98% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36% (

-1.05)

51.64% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57% (

-0.92)

73.43% (

0.92)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

-0.16)

20.26% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.4% (

-0.26)

52.6% (

0.26)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62% (

-1.21)

36.38% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

-1.25)

73.16% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Gremio 50.99%

Vasco da Gama 23.98%

Draw 25.02%

Gremio	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.99%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.98%