Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.