Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Lanus
52.6% ( 1.02)	26.15% ( -0.5)	21.26% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.75% (

1.23)

58.25% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.12% (

0.96)

78.88% (

-0.96)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.97)

22.27% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

1.43)

55.72% (

-1.43)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.23% (

0.17)

42.77% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9% (

0.15)

79.1% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 52.59%

Lanus 21.26%

Draw 26.15%

Cuiaba	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.59%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.05% Total : 21.26%