Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Gremio

Estudiantes
0 - 1
Gremio


Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawGremio
53.25% (-0.134 -0.13)24.71% (0.041999999999998 0.04)22.05% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)52.24% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.055 -0.05)73.94% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)19.58% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-0.128 -0.13)51.51% (0.13 0.13)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)38.54% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.72% (0.054000000000002 0.05)75.29% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 53.24%
    Gremio 22.05%
    Draw 24.71%
EstudiantesDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.05%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Gremio
2-1
Estudiantes
(Aggregate 1-1 | Gremio win 5-3 on penalties)
Everton (6'), Alisson (92')
Souza (22'), Ramiro (45'), Moura (47'), Alisson (93'), Andre (94')
Rodriguez (9')
Sanchez (46'), Luguercio (64'), Campi (65'), Lattanzio (73'), Brana (85')
Aug 8, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Estudiantes
2-1
Gremio
Apaolaza (9'), Campi (38')
Rodriguez (24'), Zuqui (33'), Erquiaga (58'), Sanchez (68')
Zuqui (77')
Kannemann (44')
Kannemann (30'), Souza (33')