Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 8.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.18%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.