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Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 1
The Strongest

Carrillo (65'), Cetre (81')
Benedetti (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Triverio (21')
Lopez (9'), Ursino (32')
Enoumba (8')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and The Strongest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 5-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: The Strongest 2-0 Gremio
Wednesday, April 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawThe Strongest
63.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.010999999999996 0.01)13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)39.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29%40.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 63.82%
    The Strongest 15.7%
    Draw 20.47%
EstudiantesDrawThe Strongest
2-0 @ 11.01%
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.82%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.7%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs The Strongest

Estudiantes
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
The Strongest
20.0%
5