Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Flamengo
Jun 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'

Flamengo vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
Vasco 1 - 6 Flamengo
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Pedro

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jun 1, 2024 8.00pm
Gremio 0 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result

Flamengo 63.83% ▼ (-0.85)
Draw 20.74% ▲ (+0.48)
Gremio 15.43% ▲ (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05% ▼ (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.57% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 2.5 45.43% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 3.5 32.24% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 3.5 67.76% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 4.5 16.25% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 4.5 83.75% ▲ (+0.93)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 86.46% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 0.5 13.54% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 1.5 59.39% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 1.5 40.61% ▲ (+1.35)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 57.88% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 42.12% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 21.47% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 78.54% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

Flamengo 63.83%
Draw 20.74%
Gremio 15.43%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.38)
2-0 @ 11.4% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 63.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.74%
Gremio
0-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.24)
1-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.43%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Gremio
Oct 26, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
Flamengo
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes 81' goal
  • Nathan Ribeiro 81' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
Copa do Brasil
Flamengo
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Gremio
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'
Copa do Brasil
Gremio
Jul 27, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
Flamengo
  • Bruno Uvini 32' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 51' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 54' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 59' redcard
  • Reinaldo 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 33'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 34'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 34'
  • yellowcard Wesley 35'
  • goal Bruno Alves 68' (OG)
  • goal Bruno Alves 68' (OG)
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Flamengo
Jun 11, 2023 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Everton 24' goal
  • Pedro 65' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 90'+6' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Gremio
Nov 24, 2021 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Flamengo
  • Jhonata Robert 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 58' yellowcard
  • Jhonata Robert 60' redcard
  • Leandro Campaz 72' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 76' goal
  • Brenno 78' redcard
  • Ferreira 82' goal
  • goal Vitinho 58'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 71'
  • goal Vitinho 74'
  • yellowcard Kenedy 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Flamengo
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Gremio
  • Mauricio Isla 62' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Caio 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 41'
  • yellowcard Thiago 47'
  • goal Miguel Borja 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 70'
  • yellowcard Sarara 85'
  • yellowcard Mateus Ferreira 85'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 6 Flamengo
Flamengo 3 - 0 Millonarios
Amazonas 0 - 1 Flamengo
Flamengo 4 - 0 Bolivar
Flamengo 2 - 0 Corinthians
Palestino 1 - 0 Flamengo
Gremio 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Huachipato 0 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 0 - 2 Bragantino
Gremio 4 - 0 The Strongest
Operario PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Bahia 1 - 0 Gremio