Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2024 at 11pm UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 1
Estudiantes

Cristaldo (48')
Ely (15'), Pedro (84'), Kannemann (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (83')
Correa (9'), Benedetti (23'), Cetre (70'), Zuqui (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Gremio and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Huachipato 0-1 Gremio
Wednesday, June 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Estudiantes
49.35% ( -0.14)	26.03% ( 0.09)	24.61% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.41% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.99% (

-0.28)

55.01% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-0.23)

76.28% (

0.23)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

-0.18)

22.33% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19% (

-0.27)

55.8% (

0.27)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.33% (

-0.1)

37.67% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.55% (

-0.1)

74.45% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Gremio 49.35%

Estudiantes 24.61%

Draw 26.03%

Gremio	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.35%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.61%