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Copa Libertadores
Gremio
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Estudiantes

Gremio
vs.
Estudiantes

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Gremio and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 28 at 1am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Gremio vs. Criciuma
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Estudiantes vs. Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Estudiantes has a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Estudiantes win it is 0-1 (7.58%).

Result
GremioDrawEstudiantes
54.1% (-0.111 -0.11) 25.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 20.53% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (0.197 0.2)56.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (0.16 0.16)77.33% (-0.16 -0.16)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.052999999999997 0.05)53.52% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (0.253 0.25)42.42% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (0.215 0.22)78.8% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 54.09%
    Estudiantes 20.53%
    Draw 25.37%
GremioDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.09%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.53%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Estudiantes
0-1
Gremio

Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Aug 29, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Gremio
2-1
Estudiantes
(Aggregate 1-1 | Gremio win 5-3 on penalties)
Everton (6'), Alisson (92')
Souza (22'), Ramiro (45'), Moura (47'), Alisson (93'), Andre (94')
Rodriguez (9')
Sanchez (46'), Luguercio (64'), Campi (65'), Lattanzio (73'), Brana (85')
Aug 8, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Estudiantes
2-1
Gremio
Apaolaza (9'), Campi (38')
Rodriguez (24'), Zuqui (33'), Erquiaga (58'), Sanchez (68')
Zuqui (77')
Kannemann (44')
Kannemann (30'), Souza (33')
rhs 2.0
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