Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Estudiantes

Lanus
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Moreno (46', 46'), Bou (84', 84')
Carrera (45+4'), Carrera (45+4'), Loaiza (73'), Loaiza (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sosa (34'), Mancuso (65', 65')
Benedetti (75'), Benedetti (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
Monday, May 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-0 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, May 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawEstudiantes
48.57% (0.147 0.15)26.88% (-0.1 -0.1)24.56% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (0.323 0.32)58.1% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (0.255 0.25)78.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.212 0.21)24.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.3 0.3)58.26% (-0.296 -0.3)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (0.143 0.14)39.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.133 0.13)76.14% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 48.56%
    Estudiantes 24.56%
    Draw 26.88%
LanusDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Lanus vs Estudiantes

Lanus
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
Estudiantes
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lanus
1-2
Estudiantes
Munoz (22')
Soler (7'), Aguirre (25'), Pena Biafore (29'), Loaiza (77'), Bou (90')
Loaiza (86')
Carrillo (77', 90+6')
Romero (34')
Nov 27, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Estudiantes
1-1
Lanus
Boselli (26')
Nunez (90'), Gody (90')
Torres (43')
Perez (54')
Feb 13, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 3
Estudiantes
0-2
Lanus
Canale (45'), Troyansky (89')
Oct 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 24
Estudiantes
3-1
Lanus
Diaz (22', 40'), Boselli (75')
Sand (82')
Feb 19, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estudiantes
2-1
Lanus
Boselli (37' pen.), Diaz (74')
Del Prete (8'), Pellegrini (39')
Perez (87')
Manuel Lopez (62'), Bernabei (68'), Belmonte (69'), (90+6')