Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.