Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.76%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.