Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Guillermo Laza
San Lorenzo

Deportivo Riestra
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Herrera (8')
Monje (26'), Dematei (32'), Landriel (32'), Ramirez (33'), Herrera (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perruzzi (19'), Romana (30'), Herazo (32'), Sanchez (64')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Deportivo Riestra and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.42%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 28.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.72%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo RiestraDrawSan Lorenzo
28.76% (0.117 0.12)32.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.42% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 34.62% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.63% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.37% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.68% (-0.057 -0.06)89.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33% (0.040000000000006 0.04)44.66% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)80.66% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (-0.166 -0.17)37.43% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (-0.165 -0.16)74.22% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Riestra 28.75%
    San Lorenzo 38.41%
    Draw 32.82%
Deportivo RiestraDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 28.75%
0-0 @ 16.72% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 32.82%
0-1 @ 16.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.41%