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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 12, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 2
Deportivo Riestra

Maidana (6')
Gil Romero (56'), Petrasso (75'), Bianchi (86'), Maidana (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Herrera (15'), Goitia (80')
Benegas (33'), Goitia (73'), Rodriguez (75'), Fernandez (83'), Mendez (87')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Talleres
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDeportivo Riestra
46.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 30.07% (0.142 0.14) 23.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 37.22% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.39% (-0.464 -0.46)68.61% (0.465 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.66% (-0.305 -0.31)86.34% (0.307 0.31)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.226 -0.23)29.87% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.271 -0.27)65.96% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.08% (-0.447 -0.45)46.92% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.58% (-0.342 -0.34)82.42% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 46.75%
    Deportivo Riestra 23.17%
    Draw 30.07%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 16.93% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 46.75%
0-0 @ 14.01% (0.24 0.24)
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.07%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.17%

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