Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 28' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Morales 39' goal
  • Eric Ramirez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Milton Celiz 52'
  • yellowcard Mauro Ortiz 58'
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 64'

Gimnasia vs Deportivo Riestra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 9.30pm
River Plate 3 - 1 Gimnasia
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Benjamin Dominguez

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 15, 2024 7.30pm
Deportivo Riestra 1 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jonathan Herrera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result

Gimnasia 51.52% (-0.11)
Draw 27.38% (+0.02)
Deportivo Riestra 21.1% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.21% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.59% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 62.41% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.96% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 82.04% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 7.19% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.81% (-0.02)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 75.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.98% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.03% (+0.05)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5 54.62% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 45.38% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 18.76% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 81.24% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Gimnasia 51.51%
Draw 27.37%
Deportivo Riestra 21.1%
Gimnasia
1-0 @ 15.64% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 51.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.37%
Deportivo Riestra
0-1 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.88% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 21.1%