Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.