Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 12, 2024 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
0 - 2
Independiente Rivadavia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Petrasso (9'), Reali (83')
Palacios (24')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Independiente Rivadavia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
65.33% (0.254 0.25)21.22% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.45% (-0.165 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.73% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (0.013000000000005 0.01)51.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.085000000000008 0.09)14.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (0.16099999999999 0.16)43.38% (-0.158 -0.16)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.42% (-0.249 -0.25)48.58% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35% (-0.182 -0.18)83.65% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 65.32%
    Independiente Rivadavia 13.45%
    Draw 21.22%
LanusDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.31% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 65.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 13.45%