Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Metropolitanos
0 - 2
Lanus


Araujo (27'), Bareiro (53'), Garces (63'), Flores (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bou (29', 34')
Bou (22')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Cuiaba
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.56%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawLanus
28.3% (0.158 0.16)29.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)42.56% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.74% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42% (0.10599999999999 0.11)63.57% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)82.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.193 0.19)39.26% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (0.178 0.18)75.97% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)29.62% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.66% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 28.3%
    Lanus 42.56%
    Draw 29.12%
MetropolitanosDrawLanus
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 28.3%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 11.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 14.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.61% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
May 25, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Lanus
1-0
Metropolitanos
Braghieri (51')
Aguirre (87')

Bolivar (7'), Annese (47'), Jesus Pabon Delgao (88'), Fuentes (90+1')
Bolivar (59')
Apr 8, 2022 1.30am
Group Stage
Metropolitanos
0-0
Lanus
Cova (63'), Moreira (90')
Di Placido (19')