Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 17, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
3 - 2
Liverpool

Leguizamon (5', 5'), Cuello (45+5', 45+5'), Campi (87', 87')
Irala (32'), Irala (32'), Cuello (42'), Cuello (42'), Barrios (50'), Barrios (50'), Leguizamon (51'), Leguizamon (51'), Ferreira (90+6'), Ferreira (90+6')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Garcia (24', 24'), Rodriguez (62', 62')
Barrios (33'), Barrios (33'), Lemos (36'), Lemos (36'), Rodriguez (85'), Rodriguez (85'), Rodriguez (90+3'), Rodriguez (90+3')
de los Santos (90+3'), de los Santos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Lorenzo and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Liverpool

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Liverpool
50.51% ( 0.73)	26.45% ( 0.26)	23.04% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.25% (

-1.69)

57.74% (

1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.51% (

-1.35)

78.49% (

1.35)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

-0.4)

22.97% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24% (

-0.58)

56.76% (

0.58)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.32% (

-1.89)

40.68% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.73% (

-1.74)

77.27% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 50.49%

Liverpool 23.04%

Draw 26.45%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.04%