Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.95%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.03%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.