Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 0
Deportivo Riestra

Cetre (42' pen.), Correa (90+1')
Sosa (33'), Cetre (45+2'), Perez (50'), Correa (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Murillo (45+2'), Rodriguez (76'), Monje (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Deportivo Riestra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.95%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.03%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawDeportivo Riestra
68.31% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)21.62% (0.189 0.19)10.07% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 33.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-0.282 -0.28)59.64% (0.279 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.216 -0.22)79.96% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.217 -0.22)16.81% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.21% (-0.387 -0.39)46.79% (0.386 0.39)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.29% (0.13999999999999 0.14)59.71% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.5% (0.071999999999999 0.07)90.5% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 68.29%
    Deportivo Riestra 10.07%
    Draw 21.61%
EstudiantesDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 17.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
2-0 @ 15.95% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 68.29%
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.097 0.1)
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.38% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 10.07%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Deportivo Riestra

Estudiantes
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Deportivo Riestra
37.5%
8