Argentine Primera Division

May 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Mancuso (14')
Benedetti (29'), Ascacibar (52'), Correa (77'), Perez (77'), Cetre (90+4'), Meza (103')

FT
(aet)

Sarco (63')
Ordonez (25'), Gomez (34'), Fernandez (46'), Gomez (120')
Fernandez (59')

Estudiantes win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, May 1 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.83%).

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
51.22% ( -0.18)	27.37% ( 0.13)	21.41% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.89% (

-0.37)

62.11% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.19% (

-0.27)

81.81% (

0.28)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46% (

-0.25)

24.54% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

-0.35)

59.02% (

0.36)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.13% (

-0.16)

44.86% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.17% (

-0.13)

80.83% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 51.21%

Velez Sarsfield 21.41%

Draw 27.36%

Estudiantes	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.46% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.41%