Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Huachipato win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.