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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

The Strongest
4 - 0
Huachipato

Ramallo (35'), Ortega (61'), Quiroga (71'), Angulo (90+1' pen.)
Ramallo (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (22'), Loyola (40'), Malanca (58'), Montes (64'), Martinez (75')
Montes (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between The Strongest and Huachipato.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

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Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Estudiantes
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Huachipato

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Last Game: Huachipato 0-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Huachipato win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawHuachipato
58.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.99% (0.036999999999999 0.04)19.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)44.48% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.15 -0.15)66.85% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)14.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (-0.133 -0.13)43.06% (0.134 0.13)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)37.01% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)73.8% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 58.79%
    Huachipato 19.22%
    Draw 21.98%
The StrongestDrawHuachipato
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.79%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 19.22%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Huachipato
0-0
The Strongest
Gonzalez (52'), Martinez (77')
Caire (26'), Lino (32')