Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.