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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio CAP
Gremio

Huachipato
0 - 1
Gremio


Sepulveda (36'), Sepulveda (36'), Gonzalez (55'), Gonzalez (55'), Malanca (89'), Malanca (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Costa (6', 6')
Pepe (54'), Pepe (54'), Reinaldo (70'), Reinaldo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Huachipato and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Huachipato

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Last Game: Estudiantes 3-4 Huachipato
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
HuachipatoDrawGremio
33.77% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)27.28% (-0.141 -0.14)38.95% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.404 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (0.523 0.52)55.68% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.425 0.42)76.83% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.15600000000001 0.16)31.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.183 0.18)67.31% (-0.179 -0.18)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.426 0.43)27.84% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (0.538 0.54)63.44% (-0.532 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Huachipato 33.77%
    Gremio 38.94%
    Draw 27.28%
HuachipatoDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Huachipato vs Gremio

Huachipato
26.3%
Draw
31.6%
Gremio
42.1%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Gremio
0-2
Huachipato

Costa (45+2'), Cristaldo (67')
Loyola (13'), Montes (45+6')
Silva (35'), Gazzolo (45+2'), Martinez (60')