Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Botafogo logo

Vitoria
1 - 2
Botafogo

Junior (78')
Carpini (0'), Matheuzinho (55'), Junior (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henrique (45+2'), Santos (63')
Halter (51'), John (53'), Cuiabano (65'), Tche (77'), Hugo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Vitoria and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo

All competitions
Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Botafogo
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
VitoriaDrawBotafogo
30.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)42.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14%55.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)60.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 30.2%
    Botafogo 42.71%
    Draw 27.08%
VitoriaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.71%

How you voted: Vitoria vs Botafogo

Vitoria
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Botafogo
75.0%
8
Head to Head
May 2, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Botafogo  
vs.
  Vitoria
Sep 23, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 26
Vitoria
3-4
Botafogo
Fernandes (1'), Fabiano (52'), Mauricio (88')
Mauricio (77')
Kieza (24'), Lindoso (43'), Ramon (54' og.), Lima (64')
Lima (7'), Rabello (38'), Marcinho (59'), Carli (88')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Botafogo
1-1
Vitoria
Kieza (44')
Fernandes (59')
Denilson (39')
Rhayner (10'), Jeferson (49'), Neilton (87'), Yago (92')