/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Fbotlog.png)
-
Thiago Carpini
0'
-
Matheuzinho
55'
-
Daniel Junior
78'
-
Daniel Junior
83'
-
Luiz Henrique
45'+2'
-
Lucas Halter
51'
-
John
53'
-
Junior Santos
63'
-
Cuiabano
65'
-
Tche Tche
77'
-
Hugo
82'
Vitoria vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result
Vitoria
30.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
27.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Botafogo
42.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.14%
Under 2.5
55.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
23.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
76.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
10.13%
Under 4.5
89.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
66.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
29.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
74.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
25.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
39.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
60.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Vitoria
30.2%
Draw
27.08%
Botafogo
42.71%
Vitoria
1-0
@
9.48%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.2%
2-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.2%
Draw
1-1
@
12.81%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.08%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.08%
Botafogo
0-1
@
11.74%
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.71%
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.71%