Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 16, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental

Universitario
0 - 1
Botafogo

Mena (17'), Deneumostier (74')
Di Benedetto (43'), Urena (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Jeffinho (17'), Caicedo (29'), Tanque (54')
da Silva (76'), Bastos (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Botafogo
52.11% ( -0.34)	25.7% ( 0.05)	22.19% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 46.79% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19% (

0.09)

55.81% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06% (

0.07)

76.93% (

-0.07)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

-0.1)

21.47% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

-0.16)

54.49% (

0.17)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58% (

0.34)

40.42% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.97% (

0.31)

77.03% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Universitario 52.11%

Botafogo 22.19%

Draw 25.69%

Universitario	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.29% Total : 22.19%