Copa Libertadores
Apr 24, 2024 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
  • 13' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 47' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 57' goal
  • John 59' yellowcard
  • Hugo 79' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Saravia 16'
  • yellowcard Alex Valera 45'
  • yellowcard Martin Perez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Yuriel Celi 75'
  • goal Christopher Olivares 90'+4'

Botafogo vs Universitario - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 11, 2024 11.00pm
LDU Quito 1 - 0 Botafogo

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 3.00am
Junior 1 - 1 Universitario

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result

Botafogo 58.77% (+0.24)
Draw 23.89% (-0.09)
Universitario 17.33% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.62% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.17% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.83% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.87% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 76.13% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.65% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.35% (-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 81.55% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 18.45% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 50.36% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 49.63% (-0.20)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 54.72% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 45.27% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 18.85% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 81.15% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Botafogo 58.76%
Draw 23.89%
Universitario 17.33%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 14.11% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.84% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 58.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.89%
Universitario
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.33%