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Copa Libertadores

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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
Universitario

Botafogo
3 - 1
Universitario

Eduardo (47', 90+2'), Henrique (57')
John (59'), Hugo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olivares (90+4')
Saravia (16'), Valera (45'), Perez (45+3'), Celi (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 5-1 Juventude
Sunday, April 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
58.77% (0.235 0.23)23.89% (-0.081 -0.08)17.33% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)54.83% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.114 0.11)18.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.194 0.19)49.63% (-0.193 -0.19)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (-0.147 -0.15)45.27% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.85% (-0.116 -0.12)81.15% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 58.76%
    Universitario 17.33%
    Draw 23.89%
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 14.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.33%

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