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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Universitario

Junior
1 - 1
Universitario

Caicedo (44', 44')
Caicedo (45+3'), Caicedo (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Corzo (22', 22')
Perez (45+3'), Riveros (45+4'), Perez (45+3'), Riveros (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

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Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Universitario

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Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawUniversitario
45.2% (0.123 0.12)28.78% (-0.096 -0.1)26.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.53% (0.282 0.28)63.47% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.19% (0.201 0.2)82.81% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.202 0.2)28.14% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.255 0.26)63.82% (-0.258 -0.26)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (0.13800000000001 0.14)41.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.12 0.12)77.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 45.19%
    Universitario 26.02%
    Draw 28.77%
Atletico JuniorDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.02%