Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Kuscevic (45')
Augusto (42'), Martinez (43'), Pikachu (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Felipe (19'), Madson (47'), Christian (49'), Vitor (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
50.31% (1.049 1.05)25.25% (-1.035 -1.04)24.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.52% (2.972 2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (3.9 3.9)52.16% (-3.906 -3.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (3.261 3.26)73.88% (-3.267 -3.27)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (2.066 2.07)20.74% (-2.072 -2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (3.153 3.15)53.38% (-3.157 -3.16)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (2.142 2.14)36.26% (-2.147 -2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (2.112 2.11)73.04% (-2.116 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 50.31%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.44%
    Draw 25.25%
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.83% (-1.11 -1.11)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.284 0.28)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.438 0.44)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.352 0.35)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.28 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.177 0.18)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-1.24 -1.24)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.407 0.41)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.755 -0.75)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.167 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Athletico PR

Fortaleza
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Athletico Paranaense
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 11pm
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Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Willian (57')
Erick (90+2')
Guilherme (54')
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
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1-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (84')
Britez (37'), Marinho (56'), Galhardo (90+5')

Kaue (50'), Cirino (61'), Moura (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Pablo (90+2')
Galhardo (15')
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Fortaleza
0-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (72')
Fernandes (50'), Cirino (82'), Erick (86')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 11.15pm
Gameweek 28
Fortaleza
3-0
Athletico PR
Lima (1'), Pikachu (7'), Robson (61')
Robson (73'), Ederson (77')

Canesin (32'), Christian (39')
> Preview