Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Danubio

Di Yorio (90+4')
Mastriani (36'), Esquivel (77'), Canobbio (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pintos (29'), Fernandez (42')
Gonzalez (44'), Goicoechea (59'), Tizon (67')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 2-0 Danubio
Saturday, May 11 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 6.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.28%) and 3-0 (12.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawDanubio
78.67% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)6.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)42.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.012 -0.01)65.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)8.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.81% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)57.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.85% (-0.013 -0.01)89.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 78.66%
    Danubio 6.69%
    Draw 14.64%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawDanubio
2-0 @ 14.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 78.66%
1-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.64%
0-1 @ 2.83%
1-2 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 6.69%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Danubio
0-1
Athletico PR

Fernandez (84')
Madson (16')
Julimar (61')