Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.