Copa Sudamericana
Apr 24, 2024 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Joaquin Fernandez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Madson 16'
  • yellowcard Julimar 61'

Danubio vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 1.30am
Danubio 0 - 0 Ameliano

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 1.30am
Athletico PR 6 - 0 Rayo Zuliano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result

Danubio 22.19% (+0.41)
Draw 27.06% (+0.29)
Athletico Paranaense 50.74% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.21% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.5% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 60.5% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 19.39% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 80.61% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 7.99% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 92.01% (+0.27)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 43.1% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 20.62% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.38% (-0.05)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 75.95% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 24.05% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 41.67% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 58.33% (+0.84)

Score analysis

Danubio 22.19%
Draw 27.05%
Athletico Paranaense 50.74%
Danubio
1-0 @ 8.73% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 5.23% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 3.67% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 10.36% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.05%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 14.77% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 50.74%