Copa Sudamericana
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Fernandinho
15'
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Fernandinho
15'
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Lucas Esquivel
23'
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Lucas Esquivel
23'
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Agustin Canobbio
27'
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Agustin Canobbio
27'
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Pablo
45'+1'
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Pablo
45'+1'
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Gonzalo Mastriani
66'
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Gonzalo Mastriani
66'
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Agustin Canobbio
76'
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Agustin Canobbio
76'
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Luis Felipe Corredor Ramos
13'
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Luis Corredor
13'
Athletico Paranaense vs Rayo Zuliano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 81.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.44%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result
Athletico Paranaense
81.4%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
12.86%
▲
(+0.49)
Rayo Zuliano
5.74%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
39.9%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.78%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 2.5
38.22%
▲
(+1.50)
Over 3.5
39.51%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 3.5
60.5%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 4.5
21.75%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 4.5
78.26%
▲
(+1.30)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5
92.77%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 0.5
7.23%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 1.5
73.78%
▼
(-1.22)
Under 1.5
26.23%
▲
(+1.23)
Rayo Zuliano Goals
Over 0.5
43.01%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
56.99%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
10.97%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
89.03%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Athletico Paranaense
81.38%
Draw
12.86%
Rayo Zuliano
5.74%
Athletico Paranaense
2-0
@
14.21%
▲
(+0.33)
3-0 @ 12.44% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.51)
4-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.18)
5-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 81.38%
3-0 @ 12.44% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.51)
4-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.18)
5-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 81.38%
Draw
1-1
@
6.09%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 12.86%
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 12.86%
Rayo Zuliano
0-1
@
2.32%
▲
(+0.14)
1-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 5.74%
1-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 5.74%