MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 07:49:34| >> :60:65:65:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte
Athletico Paranaense

Rayo Zuliano
1 - 5
Athletico PR

Luis Ochoa Machado (63')
Alberto Araujo Araque (48'), Enrique Faria Mendoza (73')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Esquivel (22'), Mastriani (33', 37'), Madson (75' pen.), Feliphe Costa (82')
Fernando (27')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Rayo Zuliano and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Rayo ZulianoDrawAthletico Paranaense
19.84% (-0.044 -0.04) 25.22% (-0.044 -0.04) 54.94% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.06% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.116 0.12)56.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.094000000000001 0.09)77.47% (-0.092000000000013 -0.09)
Rayo Zuliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (0.017999999999994 0.02)43.27% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.52% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (0.079999999999998 0.08)20.57% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (0.129 0.13)53.09% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Zuliano 19.84%
    Athletico Paranaense 54.93%
    Draw 25.21%
Rayo ZulianoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 14.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.93%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Athletico PR
6-0
Rayo Zuliano
Fernandinho (15' pen.), Esquivel (23'), Canobbio (27', 76'), Pablo (45+1'), Mastriani (66')

Corredor (13')
rhs 2.0
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