Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte

Rayo Zuliano
1 - 5
Athletico PR

Ochoa (63')
Araujo (48'), Faria (73')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Esquivel (22'), Mastriani (33', 37'), Madson (75' pen.), Felipe (82')
Fernando (27')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Rayo Zuliano and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Zuliano

Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-4 Ameliano
Thursday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Rayo Zuliano	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
19.84% ( -0.04)	25.22% ( -0.04)	54.94% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53% (

0.12)

56.47% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53% (

0.09)

77.47% (

-0.09)

Rayo Zuliano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.72% (

0.02)

43.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.48% (

0.02)

79.52% (

-0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

0.08)

20.57% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

0.13)

53.09% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Rayo Zuliano 19.84%

Athletico Paranaense 54.93%

Draw 25.21%

Rayo Zuliano	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 19.84%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.93%