Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.