Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Parque Capurro

Miramar Misiones
3 - 5
Danubio

Machado (30' pen.), Yepez (82'), Vazquez (90+1')
Cabrera (45+1'), Nunez (64')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leyes (27'), Sosa (45+3'), Fernandez (61', 68', 90+6')
Ferreira (47')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Miramar Misiones and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Miramar Misiones

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Miramar Misiones
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Miramar MisionesDrawDanubio
35.09% (0.263 0.26)28.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)36.04% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 45.24% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)81.27% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Miramar Misiones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.196 0.2)33.05% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.217 0.22)69.64% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)32.42% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.158 -0.16)68.94% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Miramar Misiones 35.09%
    Danubio 36.03%
    Draw 28.86%
Miramar MisionesDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.03%