Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
0 - 1
Ameliano


Madson (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Daniel Torales Peralta (61')
Contrera (22'), Maiz (44'), Rossi (88')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sportivo Ameliano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Danubio
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Sportivo Ameliano

All competitions
Last Game: Ameliano 1-0 Rayo Zuliano
Wednesday, May 15 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSportivo Ameliano
79.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)13.02% (0.023 0.02)7.1% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.29% (-0.286 -0.29)32.71% (0.285 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.61% (-0.33 -0.33)54.38% (0.331 0.33)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)6.38% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.06% (-0.157 -0.16)23.93% (0.157 0.16)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.04% (-0.303 -0.3)48.95% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.08% (-0.217 -0.22)83.92% (0.217 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 79.86%
    Sportivo Ameliano 7.1%
    Draw 13.02%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSportivo Ameliano
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 10.84% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.47% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 79.86%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 13.02%
0-1 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 7.1%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Ameliano

Athletico Paranaense
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sportivo Ameliano
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Ameliano
1-4
Athletico PR
Vera (15')
Mastriani (6', 73'), Zapelli (32'), Fernandinho (45+2')
Gamarra (25'), Heleno (33')
rhs 2.0
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