Copa Sudamericana
May 30, 2024 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • 37' goal
  • Madson 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Contrera 22'
  • yellowcard Aldo Maiz 44'
  • goal Richard Daniel Torales Peralta 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 88'

Athletico Paranaense vs Sportivo Ameliano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 15, 2024 11.00pm
Athletico PR 1 - 2 Danubio

Sportivo Ameliano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 15, 2024 1.00am
Ameliano 1 - 0 Rayo Zuliano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 79.87% (+0.01)
Draw 13.02% (+0.03)
Sportivo Ameliano 7.1% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.79% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.29% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 32.71% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 45.61% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 54.38% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 26.82% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 73.17% (+0.29)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 93.61% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 6.38% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 76.06% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 23.93% (+0.16)

Sportivo Ameliano Goals

Over 0.5 51.04% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 48.95% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 16.08% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 83.92% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 79.86%
Draw 13.02%
Sportivo Ameliano 7.1%
Athletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 11.82% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 10.84% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.59% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 7.47% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.33% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 79.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.12% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 13.02%
Sportivo Ameliano
0-1 @ 2.23% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 7.1%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
1
4
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Fredy David Vera 15' goal
  • Fredy Vera 15' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 6'
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 6'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 25'
  • yellowcard Mateo Gamarra 25'
  • goal Bruno Zapelli 32'
  • goal Bruno Zapelli 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 33'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 33'
  • goal Fernandinho 45'+2'
  • goal Fernandinho 45'+2'
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 73'
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 73'